Monday, March 22, 2010

More Good News from New Hampshire

Timothy Kincaid at Box Turtle Bulletin has a wonderful update on  New Hampshire’s non-binding votes on same-sex marriage.  At first, the National Organization for Marriage and its leader, Maggie Gallagher (left), were euphoric at what they saw and said so in the National Review Online.

But the votes trickled in slowly.  Some town hall meetings haven’t even taken place yet.  Now that more data is available, Gallagher has kept mum.  Why?  It looks like supporters for same-sex marriage won.

Dean Barker at Blue Hampshire has compiled the votes to date, and here is what he found:

Traditional meetings:

28 towns supported the anti-gay effort
61 towns did not provide enough signatures
31 towns tabled the bill, refusing to even vote on it
33 towns voted “no” on the measure
1 town flipped the effort and voted to commend the state for supporting equality

Not even 20% of these towns supported the anti-gay marriage effort.

SB2 Meetings (In this scenario, townspeople meet once to create the wording for the ballot, then vote in the polling booths on the 2nd Tuesday in March.)

31 towns supported the anti-gay effort
10 towns did not provide enough signatures
14 towns amended the language in the deliberative session, killing the petition
1 town flipped the effort but failed to vote to commend the state for supporting equality

In this scenario, we didn’t fare as well: 55% of the towns voted against same-sex marriage.

However, when you combine the two votes, we won overwhelmingly:  only 28% of the towns voted against same-sex marriage.   This is a huge victory for us.  No wonder the opposition is quiet.

It’s also interesting that we won by such a large margin in a state that had no real campaign.  Since these votes were not binding, millions of dollars in anti-gay ads were absent.

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